');
The Unz Review: An Alternative Media Selection
A Collection of Interesting, Important, and Controversial Perspectives Largely Excluded from the American Mainstream Media
Email This Page to Someone

 Remember My Information



=>
Topics/Categories Filter?
Blogging China Core Article Corruption Democracy Demographics Demography Economics Economy Elections Foreign Policy Futurism Geopolitics Georgia History Human Biodiversity Human Rights Humor Ideology Immigration International Comparisons International Relations IQ Liberal Opposition Military Miscellaneous Moscow Nationalism Open Thread Opinion Poll Politics Psychometrics Putin Race/Ethnicity Russia Russophobes Science Society Soviet Union Translations Ukraine United States USA Western Hypocrisy Western Media 2008-south-ossetia-war 2010 Census 2012 US Elections 2016 Election 2020 Election 9/11 Abortion Academia Admin Administration AdminRR Aesthetics Affirmative Action Afghanistan Africa Age Of Malthusian Industrialism Aging Agriculture AGW Denial Ahmadinejad AI AIDS Airborne Laser Aircraft Aircraft Carriers Airports Al Gore Al Jazeera Al-Qaeda Alcohol Alcoholism Alexander Hamilton Alexander Mercouris Alexei Kudrin Alexei Navalny Alpha Males Alt Left Alt Right Alternate History Altitude Altruism Amazon American Media Amerindians Amish Anarchism Anatoly Karlin Ancestral Health Ancestry Ancient DNA Ancient Near East Andrei Korotayev Andrew Yang Anglo-Saxons Animal IQ Animal Rights Anthropology Anti-Semitism Anti-Vaccination Antifa Apocalypse Apollo's Ascent Arab Spring Arabs Archaeogenetics Architecture ARCS Of Progress Arctic Arctic Civilization Arctic Methane Release Arctic Resources Arctic Sea Ice Melting Argentina Armenia Army Arseny Yatsenyuk Art Arthur H. Smith Arthur Jensen Artificial Intelligence Arts/Letters Asabiya Asian Americans Assad Assange Assassinations Aubrey De Grey Australia Austria authoritarianism Automation Azerbaijan Bahrain Balkans Baltics Bangladesh Bangladeshis Barbarians Bashar Al-Assad Beer Behavioral Economics Belarus Belgium Berezovsky Berkeley Bernard Henri-Levy Beta Males Big History BigPost Bilateral Relations Bill Browder Billionaires Black Crime Blacks Blank Slatism Bolivarian Revolution Bolshevik Revolution Books Boris Berezovsky Boris Nemtsov Brahmans Brain Drain Brazil Brexit Brezhnev BRICs Brighter Brains Britain British Politics Business Byzantine California Calisthenics Cambodia Campus Rape Canada Cancer Capitalism Cars Cartoon Casualties Catalonia Cats Caucasus CCTV CEC Cell Phones Censorship Central Asia Charles Murray Charlie Hebdo Charlottesville Checheniest Chechen Of Them All Chechens Chechnya Chess china-russia-relations Chinese Communist Party Chinese Economy Chinese History Chinese IQ Chinese Language Chinese Navy Chinese People Christian Fundamentalism Christianity Christmas Chuck Schumer CIA Civil Liberties Civil War Civilization Clannishness Clans Class Class Warfare Climate Climate Change Cliodynamics CNN CO2 Emissions Coal Cognitive Elitism Cold War collapse Collapse Party Colmar Von Der Goltz Colombia Colonialism Color Revolution Communism Computers Confucianism Marriage Consanguinity Consciousness Conservatism Conspiracy Conspiracy Theories Constantinople Convergence Copenhagen Summit Copts Corruption Perceptions Index Cousin Marriage Craig Willy Crime Crimea Crimean Tatars Crisis Crispr Cruise Missiles Cuba Cuckoldry Cuckservatism Cultural Marxism Culture Culture/Society Cyber Threats Cyprus Czech Republic Dark Ages Dark Lord Of The Kremlin David Frum David Moser Davide Piffer Death Death Penalty Deep State Demograhics Demographic Transition Demoscope Development Diabetes Dick Cheney Digital Philosophy Diplomacy discussion Dissent Dmitry Medvedev Dogs Domestication Donald Trump Donations Dostoevsky Drones Drought Drugs Dubai Dysgenic Dzhokhar Tsarnaev E-books Earth Day East Asian Exception East Asians Eastern Europe Economic History Economic Sanctions Economic Theory Economist Democracy Index Ecuador Education Edward Snowden Effective Altruism Effortpost Egor Kholmogorov Egor Prosvirnin Egypt Elites Elon Musk Emigration Emmanuel Macron EMP Weapons Enemy Belligerent Act Of 2010 Energy Entertainment Environment EROEI Espionage Ester Boserup Estonia Ethics Ethiopia EU Eugenics Eurabia Eurasia Europe European History European Right European Union Eurovision Evolution Existential Risks Face Recognition Facebook Fake News False Flag Attack falsifiable-predictions Family Family Systems Fantasy Far Abroad Fascism fat-diets FBI FEL Weapons FEMEN Feminism Fermi Paradox Fertility fertility-rate Fertility Rates Film Finance Financial Crisis Financial Times Finland Fitness Fluctuarius Argenteus Flynn Effect Food Football Forecasts Foreign Investment Foreign Policy Fossil Fuels France Francis Fukuyama Freakonomics Free Speech Free Trade Freedom Of Speech Freedom Friedrich List Fundamentalists Gail The Actuary Game Game Of Thrones Game Theory Gay Marriage Gaza Flotilla Raid Gender Relations General Intelligence Genetic Engineering Genetic Load Genetics Genocide Genomics Geoengineering Geography George Bush George Friedman George Kennan George Soros George Will Gérard Depardieu Germans Germany Glenn Greenwald Global Warming Globalism Globalization GMD God Gold Goldman Sachs Google Graham Turner grains Graphs Great Bifurcation Great Depression Great Powers Greece Greeks Green Green Party USA Greenland Gregory Clark Guantanamo Guardian Guardian Censorship Guest Gun Control Guns GWAS Hacking Haiti Hajnal Line Half Sigma Hank Pellissier Hanzi Happening Happiness Hashemi Rafsanjani Hate Speech HBDchick Health Health And Medicine Health Care Healthcare Hezbollah Hillary Clinton Himachal Pradesh Hindu Caste System Hispanics Hist kai History Of Science Hitler Holidays Holocaust Homicide Homicide Rate homicides Homosexuality Hong Kong Horses Houellebecq Housing HplusNRx Huawei Hubbert's Peak Huey Long Human Achievement human-capital Hungary Hypocrisy I.Q. Genomics Ibn Khaldun ICBMs Ice Age Iceland Ideologies Idiocracy Igor Strelkov Illegal Immigration IMF immigrants Imperialism Inbreeding incarceration-rate Incest Incompetence India Indian Economy Indian IQ Indians Indonesia industrialization Inequality Inequality Inflation Infrastructure inosmi Intellectual Property Intelligence Internet interview Interviews Invade The World Invite The World Iosef Stalin Iosif Stalin IPCC Iq And Wealth Iran Iranian Nuclear Weapons Program Iraq Ireland ISIS Islam Islam Islamic State Islamism Islamist-liberal Alliance Islamophobia Israel Israel Lobby IT Italy Ivan Bloch Jair Bolsonaro James Cameron James Kunstler James Lovelock James Watson Japan Jared Diamond Jeb Bush Jennifer Rubin Jews Jezebel Jim O'neill Joe Biden Joe Lieberman John Derbyshire John Durant John Kerry John McCain John Michael Greer John Yoo Jorge Luis Borges Joseph Tainter Journalism Julia Ioffe Julian Assange Junta Kant Karlinism Kazakhstan Kenneth Pomeranz Keto Khamenei khodorkovsky Kindle Kompromat konstantin-von-eggert Korea Korean Cuisine Koreans Kosovo Kremlin Clans kremlinology Ksenia Sobchak Kyrgyzstan la-russophobe Lactose Intolerance Laissez-faire Language Languages Latin America Latvia Law Law Of War Manual Law Lazy Glossophiliac Learning Lee Kuan Yew Leisure Lenin levada Levada Center LGBT Liberalism Liberia Libertarianism Libya Life life-expectancy Limits To Growth limp-wristed-liberals Linguistics Literacy Literature Lithuania Living Standards LNG Lobbying london Longevity luke-harding Magnitsky Act Mali Malnutrition Malthus Malthusian Loop Malthusianism Manosphere Manufacturing Maoism Map Map Posts maps Margaret Thatcher Maria Butina Marine Le Pen mark-adomanis Markets Marxism Masculinity Massive Ordnance Penetrator Mathematics Matriarchy Matt Forney Max Weber May Day me Meat Media Medicine Medieval Russia Medvedev Meme Mercenaries Mexico MH 17 Michael Weiss Middle Ages Middle East Migration Milan Kundera Militarization Military Analysis Military History Military Porn Military Spending Military Technology Millennials Millionaires Minorities Mistral Mitt Romney Moldova Moltke The Elder Monarchy Money Mongolia Moore's Law Mormonism Morocco Mortality Moscow Mayoral Election 2013 Muammar Gaddafi Music Muslims Mussolini Myanmar NAMs Natalism National Wealth NATO Natural Gas navalny Navalny Affair Nazism NCVS Neandertals Near Abroad Neo-Nazis Neocons Neoliberalism Neoreaction Netherlands Neuroscience New Cold War New York New York Times New Zealand news-2008 ngos Niall Ferguson Nicholas II Nick Bostrom Nick Eberstadt Nigeria Nirvana Nobel Prize Norman Finkelstein North Korea Norway Novorossiya Novorossiya Sitrep Nuclear Nuclear Energy Nuclear Power Nuclear War Nuclear Weapons Nutrition NYT Obama Obesity Obituary Occupy Occupy Wall Street Odessa Official English Oil oligarchs Open Access open-discussion Opposition Orban orientalism Orinoco Belt Orissa Orthodoxy Osama Bin Laden Pakistan Diet Paleolithic Palestine Panama Papers Panhandling Paper Review Paris Paris Attacks Pastoralism Pat Buchanan Patriot Missiles Patriotism Paul Chefurka Paul Krugman Pavel Grudinin Pax Americana PDVSA Peak Oil Pedophilia People's Liberation Army Personality Peru Peter Turchin Petre Țuțea Philosophy Philosophy Pigs Piracy PIRLS PISA PLAN Podcast Poetry Poland Polar Regions Police Political Correctness Political Economy Poll Polls Polygamy Population Population Growth Population Replacement Populism Poroshenko Portugal Post-Apocalypse Poverty Power Powerful Take Prediction Privacy Productivity Programming Projects Propaganda Protectionism protest Protestantism protests Psychology Public Health Public Transportation pussy-riot Putin Derangement Syndrome Putinsliv Qatar Quantitative Genetics Race Race And Crime Race And Iq Race/IQ race-realism Racism Rape Rationality Ray Kurzweil Razib Khan R&D Reading Real Estate RealWorld Regime Change Regions Religion Republicans Review Revolutions RFERL RIA Novosti Richard Lynn rise-of-the-rest Robert Ayres Robert Kagan Robert Lindsay Robert Stark Robots Roman Empire Romance Romania Romanticism Ron Paul Ron Unz RossPress RT International RTS Stock Market Rurik's Seed Russia Debate Russia-Georgia War Russia-Germany Relations Russiagate russian-cuisine Russian Demography Russian Economy Russian Elections 2018 Russian Far East Russian History Russian Jews Russian Media Russian Military Russian Nationalism Russian Occupation Government Russian Orthodox Church Russian Politics Russian Reaction Russian Society Russians RussPol Saakashvili Saint-Petersburg Samuel Huntington San Francisco sanctions Sarah Palin Saudi Arabia Scandinavia Scandinavians Schlieffen Plan schools Schopenhauer Science Fiction Science Fiction & Fantasy Scotland Secession Senegal Serbia Sergey Brin sergey-magnitsky Sergey Nefedov sergey-zhuravlev Sex Sex Differences Sex Ratio Shanghai Siberia Silicon Valley Singapore Singularity Sinotriumph Sisyphean Loop SJWs Slavery Slavery Reparations Slavoj Zizek SLBMs Sleep SM-3 sobornost Social Evolution Social Media Socialism Sociobiology Sociology Solzhenitsyn Songun South Africa South Korea Debt Soviet History Space space-based-solar-power Space Exploration Spain Speech SPLC Sport Sri Lanka stalin Statistics Stephen Wolfram Stereotypes Steve Bannon Steve Sailer Steven Pinker Strait Of Hormuz String Of Pearls Sublime Oblivion Suicide Supercomputers Superintelligence Surveillance Survivalism Svidomy Sweden Switzerland SWPL Syria Syrian Civil War systems-modeling Taiwan Tajikistan Tamerlan Tsarnaev Tamil Nadu Tar Sands Taxes Technology Terrorism THAAD Thailand The AK The Bell Curve The Bible The Blank Slate The Cathedral The Economist The Guardian The Lancet The Matrix The Oil Drum The Russian Spectrum The Saker The Sublime Thermoeconomics Third World Tibet Tim Ferriss TIMSS War Trade Transhumanism Translation International Travel Trayvon Martin Treason Triggering Trolling Tropical Hyperborea Trump Trump Derangement Syndrome Trust Tsarist Russia Turkey Twitter UAE UAVs UC Berkeley Ugo Bardi UK UKIP Ukrainian Crisis Politics UN Underground Unemployment United Kingdom Universal Basic Income Universities Urbanization US Blacks US Civil War II US Elections 2016 US Elections 2020 US Foreign Policy US Navy US Politics US-Russia.org Expert Discussion Panel us-russia-relations Uzbekistan vegetarianism Vekhi Velayat-e Faqih Venezuela Video Video Games Vietnam Viktor Yushchenko Vladimir Putin Vladimir Zelensky Vladimir Zhirinovsky Vote Fraud Wall Street War War In Donbass Warhammer wealth-creation WEIRDO Welfare West White Americans White Nationalists White Privilege Whites Wikileaks Willem Buiter william-burns William Catton Winston Churchill Women Womyn's Studies WORDSUM World Health Organization World Values Survey World War I World War II World War III Writing WSJ WTF Xi Jinping Yale Yemen YouTube yulia-latynina Zimbabwe Zombies Zoology
Nothing found
 TeasersRussian Reaction Blog

Bookmark Toggle AllToCAdd to LibraryRemove from Library • BShow CommentNext New CommentNext New ReplyRead More
ReplyAgree/Disagree/Etc. More... This Commenter This Thread Hide Thread Display All Comments
AgreeDisagreeLOLTroll
These buttons register your public Agreement, Disagreement, Troll, or LOL with the selected comment. They are ONLY available to recent, frequent commenters who have saved their Name+Email using the 'Remember My Information' checkbox, and may also ONLY be used once per hour.
Ignore Commenter Follow Commenter
🔊 Listen RSS

My “fans” at RationalWiki have recently issued an Updated & Expanded edition on me.

Since Google privileges the rantings of a basement troll and Zionist antifa over my Unz column and even my own (eponymous) website, I decided it’s time to compile a formal rebuttal for reference purposes.

***

@ak

More notable posts since the last Open Thread in case you missed any of them.

***

Featured

***

Russia

***

World

***

Coffee Salon

  • Nyborg, Helmuth. 2019. “Race as Social Construct.Psych 1 (1): 139–65. Good summary.
  • *video* Yan Xishan 閻錫山: The Russian Civil War: Every Day
  • Robin Hanson: Stephenson’s Em Fantasy
  • Filip Piekniewski: AI Winter Is Well On Its Way (via Abelard Lindsay)
  • James Thompson: Bias Bias: The Inclination to Accuse People of Bias
  • Guillaume Durocher: Review: BRONZE AGE MINDSET
  • Guillaume Durocher: Young de Gaulle on the Jews of Poland
  • Steve Sailer on Saini’s new book at Takimag’
    • You can pirate it here.
  • Christoph Nahr: Into the Void: Why Right-Wing Populists Won’t Save Us
  • PyotreNemets: “Thread with excerpts from Jinwung Kim’s “A History of Korea”
  • spandrell on Tiananmen: “Long answer: probably an internal coup attempt by a pro-Western faction of the CPC (led by premier Zhao Ziyang) with some Western intelligence support; a coup attempt which perhaps was aided by other factions inside China which disliked Deng Xiaoping and just wanted to take advantage of the disorder to drag him down. Didn’t work. Suck it up. Zhao Ziyang died in captivity, and all his team and their families went to exile to the US where, to this day, they still LARP as a sort of liberal government in exile. As CIA largesse has dried up, many of them have converted to Evangelical Christianity in a desperate attempt to get some Americans to give them money. Just take a look at dorks like this guy to see what sort of people we’re talking about.
  • Politikḗ: “The greatest achievement of Western propaganda still has to be the myth of a June 4, 1989, Tiananmen Square massacre, with talk of hundreds if not thousands of protesting students mowed down by military machine guns.
  • Virgin Deathist vs. Chad Life Extensionist
  • Noah Carl: “A popular argument on Twitter is: ‘if your view on something appears to resemble the Nazis’ view, then you are a Nazi.’ Since the Nazis were critical of intelligence research, this must mean that everyone who criticises intelligence research is a Nazi.

***

Culture War

***

 
🔊 Listen RSS

As I have blogged before (see “2.c. The Persian Gulf” in this article), Iran’s best chance to substantially shut down the Strait of Hormuz is to lay mines, then target US minesweeping vessels. They are far less well defended than its capital ships, and more fragile than the double-hulled, compartmentalized behemoths that constitute modern oil tankers. Moreover, Iran has incentives to start on that as soon as it deems that probability of war with the US is sufficiently high. Otherwise, it would be too late and will start the conflict without the one ace its otherwise outmatched military has up its sleeve.

However, the very act of laying mines is a genuinely hostile act, and this will precipitate war. This is the very definition of a vicious spiral.

Consequently, there are very dangerous runaway dynamics in any serious attempt to use brinkmanship with Iran to extract concessions (or “bring it to the negotiating table” as they call it). It may well be that we are now approaching that point.

In fairness, this may very well be what the Trump administration is banking on. The likes of Bolton and Pompeo take the heat for their current warmongering and false flagging. Meanwhile, Trump gets to walk away with his reputation as an “antiwar” President intact, forced into conflict to defend global freedom of navigation against the evil Iranians. While a war against Iran that comes out of the blue is not going to be accepted by an electorate jaded by the Iraq War, I can certainly see patriotic boomers and many others lapping it up in this scenario. Moreover, the looming recession can be blamed on Iran disrupting the global oil supply.

Incumbency, patriotic fever, a recession “created by” Iran – Trump’s chances of a second term become rather good.

 
• Category: Foreign Policy • Tags: False Flag Attack, Geopolitics, Iran 
🔊 Listen RSS

First, you have the obvious false flag in the Gulf of Oman, which Pompeo is already blaming on Iran. Even though one of the tankers in question was Japanese, with whose PM the Iranians were meeting on that very day. Plus there is the fact that the Japanese ship – which was coming from Saudi arabia – was hit above the waterline, which would appear to rule out a torpedo.

Second, you had the Houthi missile strike on a Saudi airport. That’s perfectly justified in light of Saudi bombing of Yemen, but the fact that there were 26 injuries but no deaths strikes me as a bit suspicious.

Third, you have the protests in Hong Kong, which seem to be rapidly acquiring major characteristics of a color revolution. This is not that surprising; not only is there a lot of pent-up social pressure (e.g. housing costs), but the extradition law with China may quash most of Hong Kong’s free speech privileges. All it takes is one misstep and the revolting students will be joined by ordinary citizens. There is no real question that China will send in troops should the local government collapse. Stepped up sanctions will then become inevitable, not just from the US but also probably from Europe.

Anyhow, discuss. Open Thread is tomorrow.

 
• Category: Foreign Policy • Tags: Geopolitics, Hong Kong, Iran 
🔊 Listen RSS

reiner tor comments:

Anyway, regardless of Nobel laureates, it’s pretty likely that East Asians are somewhat deficient in the nonconformism department, and so while they’re likely to excel (and overtake whites) in the “add together existing technologies and make them stronger” type of activities, not that many truly original inventions are likely to come from them.

However, I would argue that currently this is less of a disadvantage than would have been 100 or 50 years ago. There currently seem to be very few true original scientific or technological breakthroughs, and what there are, are relatively easy to copy, as long as the original content is merely an idea. For example smartphones, or even nuclear bombs: once you know it’s possible, and have an idea how to start, East Asians will get there and perfect it beyond what most Europeans (except perhaps the Swiss and Germans and a few other similar) are capable of. So, Japanese cars will always be more reliable than American cars, but they won’t invent the automobile. This is a big advantage for whites while things like the automobile are constantly being invented. It’s an advantage for East Asians after technological progress slows down and merely consists of perfecting existing inventions.

Also, achievement is usually 1% idea, 99% implementation. So being better at implementation (“add together existing technologies and make them stronger” is something like that) is actually not very bad. Anyway, whites are also very good at implementation, the East Asian advantage is not that big.

The big issue is the insanity of the Globohomo Empire, which is actively working on destroying whites anywhere. I wouldn’t bet on an empire intent on destroying its own core population. Immigration means lower fertility for whites, interbreeding with Chinese and upper caste Indian etc. immigrants (I’ve seen upper class whites with half-black children, though it’s not very widespread), so the white advantage might get lost even in terms of creativity.

Tl;dr

I’d bet on whites if it was a whites against Chinese struggle. As it is, I think the Chinese have a very good chance to at least become a peer of the Globohomo Empire, and longer term even defeat it.

***

This is a point I agree with, and have made myself here and there. After all, the very concept of a “high level equilibrium trap” was made up to describe China’s curious historical position as a rather economically efficient state coupled with general economic and technological stasis.

Consequently, to the extent that states as such will survive in the Age of Malthusian Industrialism scenario, we may confidently predict that China will be head and shoulders above everyone else.

 
🔊 Listen RSS

I don’t usually write about the latest adventures of that certain subset of the Russian “liberal” “opposition” – that motley crew of grifters, schizos, and washed out has beens who meet 2-3 times a year at their “Free Russia Forum” in Lithuania. Quite a far cry from their spiritual predecessors more than a century ago, who met up in the coffee salons of London and Zurich, they are now relegated to some Baltic backwater (how the mighty are fallen!). There, they lament that 98% of Russian vatnik swine have no time for them, before proceeding to demand Russians withdraw from the Crimea, pay reparations to half the world, and carry out “lustrations” against the servants and apologists of the Putler regime.

Seriously, if anyone needs a reminder as to why these people have zero political capital in Russia, you could do worse than reading my article on their “powerful takes” at the inaugural forum in March 2016: “Living Not By Lies in Lithuania.

So I haven’t been doing much in the way of covering this zoo since then. They are irrelevant, the novelty entertainment factor wears off quickly, and I believe in animal rights. Moreover, I don’t even think whoever finances them has that much pull. They generate hardly any coverage even in the West. Though I allow that the US may rely on their “Putin List” whenever they next need to brainstorm Russian individuals to sanction (at least it would be marginally better than using the Forbes 400). Why, then, am I writing about them now?

Because – get this – they have now put OLEG KASHIN on that “Putin List“.

You can read more about Kashin in my November 2018 article Oleg Kashin in the Albats Archipelago. Briefly, he is a liberal journalist who tends to dislike Putin and Putinists (they return the favor), currently lives in London, and agrees with liberals on approximately 75% of things (e.g. gay rights). He once got international attention for getting seriously beaten up in connection with his professional work. The one major issue that he disagrees on with the standard liberal position is over Crimea. While he supported Russia’s annexation of the peninsula, he does consider it to be an occupation, nor does he support Russia’s involvement in the Donbass. So it is certainly very strange to call him a “nightingale” of the regime – a “manager and collaborator of disinformation troops” – which is the subheading of the journalists/propagandists section of their Putin List.

Even so, this is perhaps not too surprising.

First, although Kashin is ultimately a liberal, he does not loathe Russia like most of the rest of them, and has on occasion argued that the other nations of the Soviet Union might share some culpability for Communist-era crimes. He is also on friendly terms with some Russian nationalists, such as Sputnik & Pogrom’s Egor Prosvirnin, for whom he did some reporting in Crimea in 2014, and who now occasionally appears on his YouTube streams (e.g. this one, where I am also present). This is a no-no amongst the ethnological “coalition of the fringes” that dominate the Russian “liberal” “opposition.”

Second, he has made an enemy of Evgenia Albats, a one-woman SPLC and gatekeeper of Russian “liberal” journalism, who accused him of Nazism for his statement that “it is foolish to deny that some (nations) have more contributions, others less, and some even Ukrainians.” Though the actual reason she mounted that campaign to blacklist him from journalism probably had more to do with him having asked inconvenient questions about how she had manages to acquire $400,000 in financing for her newspaper, which had negligible visitorship rates.

Third, there is the banal fact that many of these people are maximalist extremists – they are the ideological, and quite often biological, descendants of the Bolsheviks of yore. From their European exile, the Bolsheviks smeared the Russian Empire as a “prison of peoples” – a descriptor they promptly turned into reality on seizing power. One wonders whether the current vituperations of these people against Putler’s “bloody regime” would be likewise revealed as projection should some fluke bring them to power.

Now the official given reason for Kashin’s blacklisting was apparently his statement that Ukrainian activist Oleg Sentsov, imprisoned on terrorism charges in the Crimea, was a terrorist. In reality, far from echoeing the Russian government’s position, Kashin said the exact opposite.

Moreover, labeling Kashin as a Putinist was such a stupendous step that at least three of the Forum’s participants – Ilya Ponomarev, Alexey Obukhov, and Marat Guelman – felt the need to wash their hands off the decision. According to Guelman, this initiative was spearheaded by Mark Feygin (disgraced Pussy Riot lawyer who later destroyed his own family by dating a lesbian activist) and Andrey Sidelnikov (the late Berezovsky’s helper in London). Obukhov points the finger at Leonid Nevzlin (Khodorkovsky’s #2 in YUKOS, who fled to Israel after he was charged with having ordered hits on the oil company’s political rivals), who accused Kashin of taking money and misleading people who considered him to be an “independent journalist”, while Sidelnikov is said to claimed that Kashin “is not a journalist, but a propagandist.” In the comments to Guelman’s post, Kashin also suggests that Nevzlin was settling accounts with him.

Now I don’t claim any deep knowledge of the minutiae of the petty grudges these people have against each other. Nor, to be frank, am I particular fired up by this topic (though perhaps some of my readers will be interested in mining those posts for interesting “nuggets” in the comments and let us know about them).

Even so, it’s worth noting how the parallels with the Bolsheviks just keep on piling up. They were also infamous for their culture of denunciations driven by personal conflicts on the basis of minor theological disputes, which saw former comrades sidelined and ultimately “unpersoned.” Fortunately – not just for Russians, but for many of the Forum’s participants personally – they don’t have that kind of totalitarian power, and that is unlikely to change anytime soon.

EDIT: Here are the additions to the Putin List as of the latest Forum(including Kashin): https://www.spisok-putina.org/novosti-o-figurantah/2019-06-10/dopolneniya-v-spisok-putina/baseeditor1/

I notice that Chalenko – whom I recently wrote about – is also on it. Congratulations.

 
• Category: Ideology • Tags: Censorship, Journalism, Liberalism, Russia 
🔊 Listen RSS

I knew the Alt Lite was a shit show, but this is “wow just wow” territory.

Here is the expose by Milo Yiannopoulos on the Alt Lite’s video editors Caolan Robertson and George Llewelyn-John: https://www.dangerous.com/50638/say-farewell-to-the-klepto-queens-of-the-british-far-right/

‣ Stole Bitcoin worth $20,000 from Tommy Robinson, while the activist was in jail, to fund their jet-set lifestyle
‣ Booked a luxury Airbnb and bought six bottles of Dom Pérignon champagne on Tommy Robinson’s wife’s credit card
‣ Swapped camera equipment worth thousands of dollars for second-hand models they found on eBay
‣ Worked with Hope not Hate, an Antifa-affiliated far-Left organization, for years
‣ Defrauded Alex Jones with inflated expense claims
‣ Risked the life of Tommy Robinson by sharing his location with Hope not Hate
‣ Risked the life of Gavin McInnes by sharing his travel itinerary with the same group
‣ Circulated a fake “email leak” about Milo Yiannopoulos, doxing his husband—while being paid by Yiannopoulos’s tour operator for PR work

‣ Defrauded Lauren Southern with inflated invoices—while being paid by her to produce a documentary
‣ Defrauded rental companies by failing to return equipment and returning inferior models and broken units
‣ Made a fake rape claim against a far-Left activist
‣ Bragged about having TV shows canceled with bogus suicide threats
‣ Doctored their clients’ videos to embarrass them, including pitch shifting male voices upward
‣ Gloated about their exploits while showering far-Left activists with gifts, food and drinks at London’s most expensive hotels—paid for by the conservatives they were working with
‣ Shared their misdeeds with Lauren Southern, who laughed and egged them on

‣ Disavowed Southern and Robinson when we challenged them about their crimes, claiming they’d been ‘radicalized’ by the far right online

Basically there were at least three people in the Alt Lite – Tommy Robinson, Lauren Southern, and Milo himself – who retained the services of these degenerates well past the point at which anyone else would have bailed.

In particular, there are further allegations that Lauren went beyond just willful blindness, and used their help in destroying rivals in the movement. Though that didn’t prevent them from scamming her as well.

Funnily enough, it is Zionist-chan Laura Loomer who comes off looking the least bad of the lot:

But one thing that hasn’t changed is Robertson’s taste for the finer things in life—so long as someone else is paying. Investigative journalist Laura Loomer met Robertson in January 2019 about a potential filming project. She says Robertson kept pushing her to book a more expensive restaurant, and, when they got there, ordered bottles of champagne and expected her to cover the $800 check. “He kept pressuring me to drink, saying, ‘It’s hard to trust people who don’t drink,’” she remembers. “I said, too fucking bad.”

Loomer insisted that they split the bill, whereupon Robertson turned to the table next to them and proceeded to invent an outlandish yarn out of nowhere. “He told them a sob story about how he and his husband were getting a divorce,” Loomer recalls. He told them he thought George would kill himself and they felt bad for him so they kept buying him drinks. It was so fucking weird. He was lying right in front of my face, telling the couple he had a condo on Wall Street when we were staying at a local Hilton.” Loomer said that’s when she got up and left in disgust.

Anyhow, there’s seriously too many WTF moments like these to adequately summarize it all. Just read the whole thing if you like drama.

I am not sure about the extent to which I buy the argument that these two grifters were only kept on by all these people on account of their video editing prowess. It’s not that rare of a talent.

Surely not to the extent that people would pay $10,000’s to support their addictions to luxury spas and Dom Perignon, anyway.

My guess is that Caolan Robertson was one of those people, like Trump, who maxed out their the Charisma stats, enabling him to hold people in his thrall well past the moment when all warning lights should have been flashing red.

Also reminder that Tommy Robinson has a thing for trannies:

Perhaps they entertained them for so long to prove that it is the leftists who are the real transphobes.

 
• Category: Ideology • Tags: Alt Right, Humor, United Kingdom 
🔊 Listen RSS

I began blogging in 2008. This was the Golden Age of the blogosphere, though by that time, in retrospect, its peak was already behind it.

One example: Below is a fair representation of right-alternative (“Dark Enlightenment”) bloggers in the early 2010s:

Fast forward a decade and the scene has changed. Sure, many of the old stalwarts are still around, but those ones that haven’t died of social media AIDS have instead succumbed to mediocrity amidst the avalanche of YouTube bloggers.

The center of gravity of the right-alternative media sphere is now much closer to the following diagram from the report Alternative Influence: Broadcasting the Reactionary Right on YouTube by Rebecca Lewis (Data & Society):

It’s rather depressing, but creating a video on some topic will generally give you ten times the views as writing out a more labor intensive and K-selected blog post.

The Alt Right child prodigy “soph” – recently profiled by Mr. Bernstein – is currently just shy of a million subscribers on YouTube. She has had 17 million views since she started her (rather irregular) vlogging career in August 2015. That’s approximately what the Unz Review currently generates in half a year, and we have far, far more visitors now than we did even just a couple of years ago.

The typical video by the psychometrist Edward Dutton – probably the most high profile HBD vlogger – gets around 10,000-20,000 views. I am reasonably sure that this is well above what the typical article by James Thompson here gets. My most popular “HBD” article ever – The Idiocy of the Average – got something like 40,000 views IIRC. The Golden One, a Swedish alt right pagan bodybuilder whose videos I recently binge watched, has 100,000 subscribers, and most of his videos – rather low effort productions with minimal editing or graphics – get at least 20,000 views. The most high profile vloggers make enough money to make a comfortable living (Sargon of Akkad was getting $15,000 from YouTube ads before they demonetized his account).

This is not specific to what we might loosely term of the Alt Right network. For instance, take alternative Russia coverage, the other part of the blogosphere that I am intimately familiar with. The small, grassroots bloggers that were a dime a dozen in the mid to late 2000s (any of the old geezers here remember Fedia Kriukov?) have almost all gone. Most of them were poached by larger websites, such as Russia Insider, The Duran, and most recently, Strategic Culture Foundation; in the cases of the former two, most of their actual views now come from their YouTube operations.

What is even more startling is that these trends transcend borders. As with the Alt Right in the Anglosphere, a lot of the most interesting Russian nationalist personalities have migrated to YouTube in the past 1-2 years. For instance, the magazine Sputnik & Pogrom has shut down late last year, and its founder Egor Prosvirnin now does his political commentary and interviews mixed in with live video game streaming almost exclusively on its YouTube channel (I appear there once every few months). This is one of many budding projects of a nationalist or HBD-realistic on Russophone YouTube, most of them entirely unknown in the West. For instance, another content creator under the pseudonym of Kirill Nesterov essentially rewrote the Russian nationalist vocabulary during 2017-2018.

So essentially, things went like this. The blogosphere killed off the legacy media. Not entirely, but plummeting revenues forced the MSM to lay off editors and foreign correspondents, and refocus their coverage on topical issues and sensationalist content. Then the blogosphere got ravaged by social media, with first podcasters and now YouTube vloggers planting a dagger in its weakened heart. People interesting in HBD or witty political observations gravitated to Steve Sailer’s blog in the 2000s. Now, they go to people like Molyneux or Tara McCarthy.

***

Where has that old blogosphere gone?

(1) Many of the small, old school bloggers just stopped blogging. It was the digital venereal disease that is social media that killed them off more than anything else from around 2010. To have a vigorous blogosphere, you need a tightly connected network of independent bloggers bouncing ideas and arguments off each other, but when 75% of them have migrated to Twitter, there’s no longer sufficient scope in the community to generate the vigorous and counter-argument on which the old blogosphere thrived.

(2) Some bloggers were snapped up by larger websites. As a rule, the ones with stable backing from moneyed patrons were the main ones that survived and thrived (e.g. this very venue).

(3) Some parts of the blogging HBDsphere have gone into or were recruited into actual science. This is perhaps the single biggest positive development.

(4) Rising SJWism has also forced many of these discussions into closed boards, mailing lists, and Slack chats (this describes NRx and the HBDsphere).

(5) Just like the old blogosphere, the vlogosphere has debates. From what I gather, much of the old culture of back and forth that predominated in the blogosphere now finds a place in the vlogosphere (e.g. see the humorous exchanges between trans leftist Contrapoints and the The Golden One, the Swedish alter ego of Bronze Age Pervert). Vloggers make response videos to each other other. There are beefs and feuds. More visible figures promote ideological allies with less visibility.

The main problem with video is of course that it is inherently much less K-selected than blogging. It takes more effort to write and process text, but its information density is also much higher as well as the complexity of the arguments you can make. To a significant extent I agree with commenters like German_reader, as well as Ron Unz himself, that the shift towards video might be one of the indicators of looming idiocracy. But what can one do. Video now clearly dominates so far as raw viewership numbers are concerned – and by a huge margin.

***

I wrote most of this a week ago, before the massive YouTube purge.

Back then, I noted that YouTube was unusually more pro freedom of speech than most other social media, including Twitter and Facebook; or indeed blogspot, Google’s own blogging platform. Though I did add the following caveat: “I don’t expect this to last forever, and demonetization seems inevitable when dissident vloggers become high profile enough to enter the five figure monthly earnings range, attract intense media attention, or go into national politics.”

Well, “not last forever” = a few days.

Moreover, it is especially ironic that I quoted the Data & Society report, as YouTube’s actions seemed to have stemmed at least in part from its recommendations:

The website similarly seeks policies that offer it protection for hosting user-generated content while simultaneously facing minimal liability for what those users say. This report has shown how these attempts at objectivity are being exploited by users who fundamentally reject objectivity as a valid stance. As a result, platforms like YouTube have an imperative to govern content and behavior for explicit values, such as the rejection of content that promotes white supremacy, regardless of whether it includes slurs.

While much more research is needed to investigate the effectiveness of specific responses, Paul Joseph Watson’s tweet suggests one concrete step YouTube can take in response. The platform currently provides Silver, Gold, and Diamond awards for content creators who have reached 100,000, 1 million, or 10 million subscribers, respectively. At this point, the platform reviews channels to make sure they do not have copyright strikes and do not violate YouTube’s community guidelines. At these junctures, the platform should not only assess what channels say in their content, but also who they host and what their guests say. In a media environment consisting of networked influencers, YouTube must respond with policies that account for influence and amplification, as well as social networks.

In the original draft, I counseled people aspiring pundits in the alternative media sphere to go into video commentary instead of blogging.

However, I can’t really recommend that anymore.

Not video, anyway. I don’t know what the next hot thing will be. Interpretative dance? That joke doesn’t sound so jokey anymore. Perhaps that really will be one of the only platforms open for dissident thought once the entire Internet is shuttered and all political content is produced by Picus News subsidiaries.

To be honest, at this point, I can’t conscientiously recommend going into any sort of “media” activity:

  • Serious MSM journalism is either miserably remunerated, controlled by a small and elite caste, and more often both (e.g. most Western journalists in Moscow are trust fund kids).
  • The old school journalists are struggling and committing suicide.
  • People do read listicles and woke pop culture takes, but that also pays just a pittance, and it will probably be automated sooner or later anyway. At which point you’ll have to learn to code.
  • Alternative blogging on interesting and controversial themes has a small audience, and will invite increasing social ostracism if you’re not anonymous (or become doxed).
  • You do have much potentially bigger and much more profitable audiences for YouTube, but as of now this is systematically getting shut down.

Really, it seems that focusing on business and getting rich is much more promising. You can then fund the content you want, and/or create political networks with like-minded oligarchs (e.g. the John Birch Society). It probably won’t achieve anything either. But you’d have a pretty fun time.

 
• Category: Culture/Society • Tags: Blogging, Video, YouTube 
🔊 Listen RSS

WARNING: SPOILERS AHEAD

RATING: 3/5.

You can access all of my latest book, film, and video game reviews at this link, as well as an ordered, categorized list of all my book reviews and ratings here: https://akarlin.com/films/

***

I am interested in China. I am not so much interested in films. But I am very interested in existential risks and post-apocalyptic settings – especially underground ones. So I was naturally excited to see WANDERING EARTH.

Problem: It’s not being shown in Russia. So far as I know, it wasn’t released in Europe at all. It only saw a limited international release confined to the US and Australia, forcing everyone else to stream it on Netflix. I am not going to subscribe to Netflix because I am not enough of a cuck to pay some Yankee grifters to watch otherwise freely available content that isn’t even American, so Pirate Bay it is. Still, its lack of international presence was rather remarkable for a movie that grossed $700 million, China’s second highest of all time. Doesn’t say much for Chinese soft power.

It is the middle of the 21st century, and the Earth is in a bit of a pickle. The Sun has decided to go into red giant mode a few billion years ahead of schedule. After some out of the box thinking, the world’s governments decide to build 10,000 “Earth Engines” that are to fuse away the Earth’s crust to propel the Earth away from the Sun. These Earth Engines are massive structures, higher than Mount Everest, and they are tended to – and provide power for – underground communities of 350,000 people each. Moreover, there are 2,000 even bigger “Torque Engines” arrayed along the equator. These were constructed to change the rotational speed of the Earth, creating massive tsunamis that killed off two thirds of the world’s surplus population.

Leaving side for now the more implausible aspects, I immediately found it difficult to see why they’d go to the trouble of constructing those Torque Engines when they could winnow the population much cheaper through a bioengineered plague, or some other, less capital-intensive method. Surely for the cost of those 2,000 Torque Engines they could have constructed an additional several thousand Earth Engines, enabling them to save all the world’s people instead of just 3.5 billion?

Also, in my own racist, autistic line of thinking, wouldn’t tsunamis actually mostly wipe out the capable, high IQ people capable of manufacturing and maintaining those Earth Engines in the first place? Much of Africa is rather high in elevation, while South America is shielded by mountains and the dense Amazonian rainforest. Meanwhile, the great bulk of the Chinese population lives in the flat, eastern third of the country.

Anyhow, this convoluted planetary evacuation scheme actually works, and the Earth begins to fly away from the fiery Sun… into the frying pan that is Jupiter. For as they pass in front of it, the gas giant happens to emit a “gravitational spike”, pulling in our hapless Terra into its gravitational well even as the resultant earthquakes disable most of the Earth Engines that would have been needed to correct course.

On Earth, our plucky heroes – Liu Qi, his adopted sister Han Duoduo, and some other sidekicks – fail to repair the Earth Engines in time and all hope is seemingly lost. In what is perhaps the film’s most (unintentionally) slapstick scene, a distraught soldier fires off his minigun in rage at Jupiter.

But as they say, when the going gets tough, the tough get going. The Earth is accompanied by an orbiting space station which holds a few thousand taikonauts and millions of sperm, eggs, and data banks. So, your classical generation ship, give or take. The ship’s on-board AI system “MOSS” calculates that the Earth is doomed and begins to steer the spaceship away from the doomed planet. But the Chinese hero, Liu Peiqiang – father of Liu Qi – refuses to accept the dying of the light, rebels against Chinese Hal 9000, and manages to get the better of it thanks in part to a heroic sacrifice by his Russian cosmonaut friend. Once Liu Peiqiang has manual control, he convinces the World Government to allow him to attempt an unconventional solution. He launches the spaceship in a kamikaze strike onto Jupiter’s surface, igniting the gas giant’s hydrogen surface and producing a blast wave that knocks the Earth back into empty space.

***

This is not really hard sci-fi. On the Mohs Scale Of Science Fiction Hardness, it is surely closer to Solaris (the Hollywood adaptation) than to Neal Stephenson’s Seveneves. According to one hard science estimate, you’d need to mine 95% of the Earth’s mass to generate the energy needed to get it to its post-solar destination, Proxima Centauri. The Sun’s untimely demise, Jupiter’s “gravitational spike”, and Torque Engines generating enough instant acceleration to generate democidal tsunamis on the planetary tsunamis is all patently absurd. The plot resolution device, the idea of igniting Jupiter’s hydrogen atmosphere, is even more fantastical. It is struck by hundreds of meteorites every decade, none of which have “ignited” it thus, and any kinetic force capable of pushing away an Earth accelerating into Jupiter would also completely and utterly disintegrate it, let alone leave any survivors on the surface (as happened to our heroes in the film). Nonetheless, there is at least the appearance of attention to Newtonian mechanics, which not something one can say for most Hollywood sci-fi movies.

Also, credit where it’s due. The temperature calculations are remarkably accurate. They are around extreme Antarctica levels (about -90C), whereas Earth’s steady state temperature at Jupiter’s orbit will be around -150C (at least according to Universe Sandbox 2). However, considering that the Sun is expanding, and that Earth is flying away from it and is still warmer than it should be, this figure is perfectly plausible. The cargo transport vehicles are bulky and overgrown with all sorts of manual controls. While this might seem strange to us in the context of a hi-tech 21st century civilization capable of constructing thousands of megastructures, I would argue that this is actually fridge brilliance (if probably unintentional). Vehicles will need to be extremely rugged and have redundant controls in a harsh, rapidly cooling planet that is gradually heading out of the protective blanket of the heliosphere.

It is very funny to observe the national stereotypes on display. As mentioned above, WANDERING EARTH was made for a Chinese audience, so I assume they didn’t take care to pander to foreign sensibilities and sensitivies. Liu Peiqiang’s Russian sidekick on the space station, Makarov, is a good-natured semi-alcoholic who considers his Chinese counterpart to be his brother, and the warm feelings are mutual. Although he died for the sake of their mission, it is Makarov’s secret vodka caches that allows Liu Peiqiang to defeat MOSS by converting one bottle into a Molotov cocktail and throwing it at the mainframe (after unsuccessfully trying to hack the mainframe).

Meanwhile, the foreign sidekick of the surface protagonists is a blonde Australian sexpat called Tim who insists that “she consented” when we first meet him in a jail cell. Though he is the stand-in for the English language teacher laowai archetype, he is not portrayed with any particular malice. China is not yet in the #MeToo era, and presumably, female claims about inappropriate sexual conduct are still taken with a pinch of salt. The Australian comes off as goofy layabout, not a rapist creep, and the entire thing is laughed off in a manner that I doubt will pass muster with Western SJWs in the Current Year.

There are no Africans or other non-Asian POCs. Thr unspoken implication is that Whites and East Asians were the only two races capable of constructing the Earth Engines and the elaborate underground bunkers that would shelter humanity in its 2,500 year voyage to Proximate Centauri. That was a breath of fresh year after years of Hollywood regaling us with fables about NASA’s Black geniuses.

***

That said, I am disappointed to report that Hollywood has nothing to worry about. Fundamentally, this film is a reminder that characters matter. The world of WANDERING EARTH is more compelling than most. The plot might be largely nonsensical and ad hoc, but that’s par for the course. The CGI is astounding, featuring long, spectacular space scenes, and serene views of the ruined and frozen surface. What is even more remarkable is that its budget was a mere $50 million. Hollywood would have needed at least $250 million for comparable visual effects. But what distinguishes this from most Hollywood movies is that there are no memorable personalities, no character arcs, no cause for emotional investment into the fate of any of its protagonists. For all its other problems, this is something that Hollywood generally gets right. That is important, because so far as the creative arts are concerned, characterization comes before plot, while plot supersedes world-building. WANDERING EARTH gets it the other way round.

Liu Qi is the whiny, ungrateful son who endlessly castigates his father for “abandoning” him to serve humanity’s interests on the spaceship. His sister-in-law Han Duoduo is a bimbo who alternates between sleeping and hysterics, such as when she berates a surface worker crew for failing to save her grandfather-in-law from freezing to death (despite them having lost one of their own members in the attempt). As he dies, the old man thinks of how he saved Han Duoduo during the flooding from one of the tsunamis generated by the Torque Engines. This is a typical approach. Character deaths are accompanied by saccharine “reminiscence” scenes from their former lives, as if the directors were trying to add emotional poignancy to their demise. It doesn’t work because they don’t give sufficient cause to care about any of these people in the first place, so it just comes off as a cheap gimmick. In the end, Duoduo’s main purpose is to make an “inspirational” radio appeal to rally the rest of the surface repair crews to come fix the Earth Engine in Indonesia so that it could beam its energy ray up at Jupiter to ignite its atmosphere. Incidentally, this turns out to be pointless, as the resultant beam doesn’t travel far enough anyway and basically annuls the meaning of all the previous hour of desperate struggles and sacrifices to restart the engines. Not when all it took was to kamikaze a spacecraft into Jupiter to correct Earth’s course.

For an example of a Western film that got this right, you can take a look at The Day After Tomorrow (2004). This also featured a niveous apocalypse and a harrowing quest for survival across frozen wastelands. While it was also an ultimately mediocre film, there was real drama and tragedy when members of the crew died. If WANDERING EARTH is at all representative of Chinese sci-fi films, they are going to have to step up their game before they will be able to compete with Hollywood in the West.

 
🔊 Listen RSS

(1) So yes, basically everyone Alt Right OR Alt Lite is now getting their channels deleted, demonetized, or at least having some of their videos deleted.

I don’t closely follow the vlogosphere, but here is a Twitter thread that seems to be pretty comprehensive.

It’s worth pointing out that demonetization is nearly as bad as an outright ban, as it demoralizes creators, and in some cases, cuts off their main source of income. Relying on Patreon or Subscribestars (a recent and less PC Russian alternative) is a bandaid – while we greatly appreciate the exceptions, anonymous readers are rarely very generous, and you need to be really big to make even a decent living off public donations. And they can always shut you down as well. Patreon is more than happy to kick controversial people off by itself, while Subscribestars had to cease operations for a period of time after PayPal cut them off.

(2) Guess the Alt Lite and BASED conservatives should have protested more when this started i.e. when Andrew Anglin (Daily Stormer) got deplatformed in the wake of Charlottesville almost two years ago. Now it’s too late.

(3) I am assuming that Trump is continuing to monitor censorship… all the way to losing in 2020 and going to prison soon afterwards.

At that point, most likely everything else will be shut down.

(4) I have a blog post ready to go about how the vlogosphere has superseded the old blogosphere over the past few years. Obviously, it will now have to be substantially rewritten.

But the main point to take from here is that YouTube is not going to become the center of anti-Establishment dissidence that we thought it might be, just as similar delusions about the power of Twitter and other social media were dispelled from around 2017*.

YouTube will become a repository for cat and unpacking videos.

(5) Yes, alternatives exist, but by and large, people are not going to bother going to Bitchute or RuTube. Three reasons why.

First, they are much smaller than YouTube, which is a de facto monopolist in this sphere, and so derives vast benefits from network effects.

Second, YouTube operates on an annual loss of a billion dollars. It is something that Alphabet subsidizes for presumably political reasons. No other site can afford to be a YouTube. Videos take up a lot of storage space, and HDD’s don’t come free!

Third, let’s be honest, many of the people driven off are not so much dissidents as assorted freaks and weirdos. Their presence will deter “normies” from migrating over. We already have a perfect example of that with Gab (Twitter alternative) and Voat (Reddit alternative).

(6) There are increasing signs that Alt Leftists are going to be progressively shut down as well – some of those deplatformed today were outright anti-Alt Right.

Moreover, apart from institutionalizing blank slatism, YouTube is also committing to fighting “falsehoods” such as 9/11 or Sandy Hook conspiracy theories. While I do not buy into those two in particular, imagine if YouTube had existed in the 1960s, and it censored “conspiracy theories” portraying the Gulf of Tonkin incident as the “false flag” it turned out to be. And we don’t even have to look decades back. The Saudis are clearly going out of the way building a case for war with Iran, with those ridiculous “Iranian attacks” on their oil tankers. Fortunately, false flagging is an O-Ring task, and Saudis are apparently too low IQ to accomplish that. And half of the US political elites don’t have it out for Iran anyway, so there is institutional resistance.

But what if there were similar attempts to false flag a war with Russia? Or with China, whose demonization has also become increasingly bipartisan? The inability to debunk false flags – or rather, to have it catch fire – may well result in avoidable wars.

(7) Prediction: The last dissident resources in the West to remain standing will be technically adept websites financed by moneyed individuals or groups (such as The Unz Review), or true cyberpunk “samizdat” outfits lurking in the deep web and kept afloat with crypto donations (such as The Daily Stormer).

(8) There is no reason for repression not to increase just as concrete genomic evidence of group differences in personality traits starts getting published on a large scale. Historically, it is often at precisely such moments of stress that repression is maximized. It also serves the elite’s interests, as spandrell has pointed out in a recent blog post. Nothing undermines their high status more than HBD, because it suggests that their success is achieved through genetic privilege, as opposed to their own hard work and moral superiority.

To end this on a futurist cyberpunk note, it will also very conveniently make it easier for them to ban genomic augmentation of intelligence and other desirable traits e.g. for social justice reasons, while many of them quietly make use of such “black clinics” in less regulated Third World countries.

Silver lining: Filtering out the more r-selected content?

(9) The one happy thing about all this is that more and more restrictions and censorship means higher quality output.

First, it weeds out the grifters – no point to grifting when you are blacklisted and deplatformed from everything.

Second, it may also impose a certain discipline on content producers, forcing them to pick their words with care while making the same points they used to. Note that most of the greatest “subversive” literature was produced in moderately repressive ancien regimes, not democratic republics with strong freedoms of speech. When everything has been banned, the novels of Houellebecq, for instance, may have that much more weight and resonance.

Assuming they don’t go full Leninist and turn everything into a wasteland, anyway.

 
🔊 Listen RSS

In one of my posts on the Age of Malthusian Industrialism, I pointed out that groups such as the Amish and the Mormons will be some of the first to become saturated with genotypic breeders:

This acceleration will be noticed first, and remain most pronounced – at least in relative terms – amongst already highly fertile tribes, such as the Amish, the Haredi Jews, and possibly the Mormons. They will become even more fertile and will see their numbers multiply fastest. However, their very low initial base precludes them from ever accounting for a substantial percentage of the world population, and this goes double for any of the marginal religious breeder sects.

Now, here is a map of how this may look like, courtesy of /pol/*:

Projecting forwards another century after 2100, and Mormonism may well have come to dominate the entire Western US, as opposed to just its Mountain heartlands.

The highest Amish range on this map is 8.1%-17.2% (dark green), versus 50%-66% (dark red) for the Mormons. So the Amish would not be dominating the Eastern US come 2120 like the Mormons would be in the Western US – or at least its non-metropolitan parts. By that time, the breeder transition should be in full swing even amongst the “normie” population, so the percentage of Amish should reach an asymptote well before they get anywhere near a majority in the Eastern US.

Despite their many strange beliefs and behaviors, I do not have a negative attitude towards Mormonism. It is in many respects the quintessential – and ultimate? – Anglo religion. As I pointed out on Robin Hanson’s blog, it is also highly compatible with transhumanism. Once the dysgenic dark ages of the third millennium are replaced by the reassertion of Malthusian selection for intelligence, conscientiousness, and frugality, we might expect this LDS civilization to be one of the first to reignite space technologies.

* Unfortunately, this being a /pol/ shitpost, there is no source. But I assume it’s accurate. It looks accurate to me. But let me know if something is off.

 
🔊 Listen RSS
 

The last Open Thread was a while ago, so there’s quite a backlog.

As I said at the beginning of the year, I am thinking of doing more video for my YouTube channel, which is currently largely dormant. If I go ahead with this, it will mostly be in Russian.

I don’t intend to do any serious preparation or editing. After all, I already have this blog, an academic career, and some other projects to take care of. Plan is to start off my ranting into a camera for half an hour 1-2 times a week.

Inspiration: Edward Dutton, RAMZPAUL.

Anyhow, let me know of any ideas or tips you might have on the art of vlogging.

***

@ak

More notable posts since the last Open Thread in case you missed any of them.

***

Featured

***

Russia

***

World

***

Coffee Salon

***

Culture War

***

 
🔊 Listen RSS
 

Back in the mid-2000s, in a conversation with a Taiwanese exchange student, the topic somehow turned to international relations (proof that I am not making this up just because it’s now a hot topic). I recall asking him what he thought would happen if China was to invade.

His response? He thought that a good majority of the soldiers – mostly conscripts, back then – would quickly desert or surrender. Perhaps 20% would be outright happy to collaborate. I just looked at the polls and they happen to be equivalent to almost exactly equivalent to the 70%-80% Taiwanese who are opposed to unification with China. There is good cause to believe his assessment was accurate (and he wasn’t a fan of the PRC either).

I think this demonstrates an important point. While the Taiwanese might not want to be ruled from Beijing, very few of them want to die for Taiwan (a fake, and now literally gay, country).

In fact, I strongly suspect that Taiwan will fold much like the Ukraine would have crumpled before a Russian invasion in 2014. While the Ukrainian Army is very brave at shelling Donetsk civilians, they surrender or skulk away as soon as uniformed Russian soldiers show up. The Galician guys in Crimea surrendered without firing a shot, even if they did hold out the longest.

This suggests that China must avoid an aeronaval conflict over Taiwan to the extent possible – while it is much better prepared for it now than in prior years, it still has no real counter to the Virginia-class attack submarines that will be the main foil to any amphibious invasion. Risky as it is, an airborne assault like the German conquest of Crete in WW2 might just work. While China’s strategic airlife capabilities are still rather meager, there’s no reason that its vast civilian air fleet couldn’t be pressed into service. Demoralized, disorientated by missile strikes, and riven by Sinophile treason and sabotage, it could quickly fold even before a pretty small Chinese force. In addition, this will have the effect of presenting America with a fait accompli and forestalling further escalation.

Of course a better idea is to just continue expanding its economic and military dominant, brain draining the svidomy renegades, and putting them out of their misery come midcentury or so.

 
• Category: Foreign Policy • Tags: China, Geopolitics, Military, Taiwan 
🔊 Listen RSS
 

Trump is in London.

The Britbongs aren’t taking it well: https://www.stoptrump.org.uk/events/ . The London Museum apparently wants to add the Trump baby blimp to its exhibits.

London Mayor Sadiq Khan – having presided over a large rise in violent crime and said that terrorism is “part and parcel of life in a global city” – has taken a leading role in signalling against Trump.

For his part, Trump is whining about no access to Fox & Friends at his hotel.

I’m not a big fan of the Clown World meme – the previous NPC one was much better, IMO – but it really does fit very well here.

 
🔊 Listen RSS
 

Ok, actually they did do quite a few things wrong – e.g., most things under Maoism – but they did absolutely nothing wrong specifically 30 years ago.

It’s an artificial outrage drummed up as part of America’s Sinophobia campaign.

There was no such big outrage or sanctions when South Korea killed thousands of protesters in the 1980s, whereas only a few hundreds died in Tiananmen. Nobody in China cares about Tiananmen apart from a small crowd of ageing pro-Western dissidents. So it is obviously played up for ideological reasons – for the cause of Taiwanese svidomism, for Japan to minimize its own crimes against China (as if killing 30 million in a war of aggression is comparable to killing 300 in putting down sedition), and to aid America’s attempts to isolate and contain China now that it is becoming a discernible threat to its global hegemony.

 
• Category: History • Tags: China, Chinese Communist Party 
🔊 Listen RSS
 

I did infer that he is redpilled on all of this stuff in my review of his book, though his interpretation – like Pinker’s – is strongly liberal/paternalistic. (Which is perfectly fine and internally consistent).

He has definitively confirmed that.

This has created quite the ruckus, with Angela D. Saini – author of ominous sounding books and Guardian articles about the “return of race science” to politics – writing about how this was yet another example of that.

https://twitter.com/AngelaDSaini/status/1135123242308558848

Unfortunately, she has since hidden her Twitter, and apparently nobody thought to take a screencap before that happened.

Anyhow, let’s all wish him good luck in the storms to come. Even if one disagrees with his solutions or politics, it wouldn’t do for the Legions of Woke to destroy the one HBD realist* in the US Presidential race.

* Well, apart from Trump, but Trump’s understanding is more folksy/intuitive than coldly scientific.

 
🔊 Listen RSS
 

Yoder, Christian N., and Scott A. Reid. 2019. “The Quality of Online Knowledge Sharing Signals General Intelligence.Personality and Individual Differences 148 (October): 90–94.

Some people share knowledge online, often without tangible compensation. Who does this, when, and why? According to costly signaling theory people use behavioral displays to provide observers with useful information about traits or states in exchange for fitness benefits. We tested whether individuals higher in general intelligence, g, provided better quality contributions to an information pool under high than low identifiability, and whether observers could infer signaler g from contribution quality. Using a putative online wiki (N = 98) we found that as individuals’ scores on Ravens Progressive Matrices (RPM) increased, participants were judged to have written better quality articles, but only when identifiable and not when anonymous. Further, the effect of RPM scores on inferred intelligence was mediated by article quality, but only when signalers were identifiable. Consistent with costly signaling theory, signalers are extrinsically motivated and observers act as “naive psychometricians.” We discuss the implications for understanding online information pools and altruism.

Humans don’t work for free.

Gold. USD. Online reputation. There needs to at least be something, because otherwise there will be nothing.

If I understand this right, this suggests that truly genuine altruism doesn’t really increase with intelligence after correcting for identifiability. That makes sense. The authors also point out that altruism is less costly for more intelligent individuals, since they are more easily able to recoup the costs of non-compensated altruism.

 
🔊 Listen RSS
 

I wasn’t *100%* tongue in cheek when I predicted that Russia will be held responsibile for the Holocaust by handshakeworthy Western opinion-setters by midcentury.

It seems that I was hardly alone in this sentiment amongst my followers.

This idea – that the Soviet-Russian genocide of the Jews under Russian nationalist Jughashvili is predestined to be the great synthesis to the neoliberal thesis and the Alt Right antithesis – that this will be the ultimate horseshoe will resolve the ideological contradictions that are currently wracking the West – seems to be catching hold in the United States, at least going by anecdotal Twitter observations.

So far as Western elites – Jewish or Gentile – are concerned, there really is no reason not to push through with this values shift, especially as the technical/political means for effecting it come within sight.

 
• Category: Ideology • Tags: Holocaust, Russophobes, Western Media 
🔊 Listen RSS
 

… has seemingly occured in the blink of an eye, and has given way to an emerging four party system.

There was one brief period during the early 2010s when it looked like the Lib Dems might finally break out as the third “party of power.” However, that uptick ended up as a damp squib after they ended up betraying their student supporters by voting with the Conservatives for university tuition fee increases.That did them in for the next few years.

But now they have catapulted themselves back into the limelight as the party of pro-Remain yuppie cosmopolitans – students, hipsters, Londoners; while the eponymous Brexit party is the party of the rooted folks of Deep Albion. Meanwhile, the two century long mainstays of British politics – the Conservatives and New Labour – are struggling to remain relevant, as with centrist parties most everywhere else in Europe.

 
• Category: Ideology • Tags: Opinion Poll, Politics, United Kingdom 
🔊 Listen RSS
 

As of May 31, all of Russia’s civil airports have been renamed in line with a national Internet poll on the topic.

Here are the changes (via Google Translate):

Sheremetyevo Airport – poet Alexander Pushkin;
“Domodedovo” airport – scientist Mikhail Lomonosov;
airport “Vnukovo” – aircraft designer Andrei Tupolev;
the airport of Anadyr “Ugolny” – by the writer Yuri Rytheu;
Anapa Vityazevo Airport – test pilot Vladimir Kokkinaki;
Arkhangelsk Airport – writer Fyodor Abramov;
the airport of Astrakhan – artist Boris Kustodiev;
Belgorod Airport – engineer, inventor Vladimir Shukhov;
Blagoveshchensk Airport – Count Nikolai Muravyov-Amursky;
Vladivostok airport – a scientist Vladimir Arsenyev;
the airport of Volgograd – the fighter pilot Alexei Maresyev;
Voronezh Airport – Emperor Peter I;
Ekaterinburg airport “Koltsovo” – businessman Akinfiy Demidov;
Kaliningrad Khrabrovo Airport – Empress Elizabeth Petrovna;
Kaluga Airport – scientist Konstantin Tsiolkovsky;
Kazan airport – poet Gabdulla Tukai;
Krasnodar Airport – Empress Catherine II;
Krasnoyarsk Airport – singer Dmitry Khvorostovsky;
Magadan Airport “Falcon” – the singer and actor Vladimir Vysotsky;
the airport of Mineralnye Vody – the poet Mikhail Lermontov;
the airport of Murmansk – Emperor Nicholas II;
Airport Nizhnevartovsk – an oil engineer Viktor Muravlenko;
Nizhnekamsk Airport – Hero of Socialist Labor Nikolai Lemaev;
Strigino’s Nizhny Novgorod airport – test pilot Valery Chkalov;
Novy Urengoy Airport – geologist Ivan Gubkin;
Novosibirsk airport “Tolmachevo” – the commander Alexander Pokryshkin;
the airport of Norilsk – geologist Nikolai Urvantsev;
Omsk Airport – General Dmitry Karbyshev;
Penza airport – literary critic Vissarion Belinsky;
Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky airport “Yelizovo” – navigator Vitus Bering;
Pskovavia Airport – Princess Olga;
Samara airport “Kurumoch” – a scientist and designer Sergey Korolev;
Simferopol Airport – artist Ivan Aivazovsky;
Sochi airport – cosmonaut Vitaly Sevastyanov;
Syktyvkar airport – pilot Peter Istomin;
Stavropol Airport – commander Alexander Suvorov;
Surgut airport – geologist Farman Salmanov;
Tomsk “Bogashevo” airport – aircraft designer Nikolai Kamov;
the Tyumen “Roshchino” airport – a scientist Dmitry Mendeleev;
Ufa airport – poet Mustay Karim;
Khabarovsk Airport – Admiral Gennady Nevelsky;
Cheboksary airport – cosmonaut Andriyan Nikolayev;
Chelyabinsk Airport – Physics Igor Kurchatov;
the airport of Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk – writer Anton Chekhov;
Yakutsk airport – writer Platon Oiunsky.

The most “ideological” contest took place over the naming of Murmansk Airport. Should it be named after Nicholas II, the founder of Murmansk – the last city to be founded in the Russian Empire; or after Ivan Papain, a Soviet Arctic explorer – and head of the Crimean Cheka during the Civil War?

Fortunately, Nicky won with 49% to Papanin’s 41%.

Kaluga Airtport is now named after Tsiolkovsky. Good to Russian Cosmists (the first transhumanists) getting their due.

 
• Category: Ideology • Tags: Airports, Russia 
🔊 Listen RSS
 

Meisenberg, Gerhard. 2019. “Should Cognitive Differences Research Be Forbidden?Psych 1 (1): 306–19.

Some authors have proposed that research on cognitive differences, including differences between ethnic and racial groups, needs to be prevented because it produces true knowledge that is dangerous and socially undesirable. From a consequentialist perspective, this contribution investigates the usually unstated assumptions about harms and benefits behind these proposals. The conclusion is that intelligence differences provide powerful explanations of many important real-world phenomena, and that denying their causal role requires the promotion of alternative false beliefs. Acting on these false beliefs almost invariably prevents the effective management of societal problems while creating new ones. The proper questions to ask are not about the nature of the research and the results it is expected to produce, but about whether prevailing value systems can turn truthful knowledge about cognitive differences into benign outcomes, whatever the truth may be. These value systems are the proper focus of action. Therefore, the proposal to suppress knowledge about cognitive ability differences must be based on the argument that people in modern societies will apply such knowledge in malicious rather than beneficial ways, either because of universal limitations of human nature or because of specific features of modern societies.

In particular, Section 5 is a masterpiece in the art of reframing “liberal” objections to IQ research in a way that makes them out to be the reactionary troglodytes.

On women:

Today, some experts (e.g., Richard Lynn) claim a very slight (3–4 points) male advantage in general intelligence during adulthood while others (e.g., James Flynn) deny it… This contrasts with much larger non-cognitive differences, for example a one standard deviation difference in vocational interests on the people–things dimension[43], and even larger differences when multivariate effect sizes of latent factors are determined[44]. Non-cognitive sex differences, including lower female risk taking and competitive spirit, are generally recognized as the main obstacles for attempts at educating women into traditionally male value systems and occupations[45]. There is also evidence that female relative to male happiness and life satisfaction tend to be high in Muslim countries and in countries with low female labor force participation[46]. This kind of knowledge, rather than knowledge about female intelligence, should be prohibited in societies whose elites disparage traditional female values and social roles!

On class:

Free will belief is associated with moralistic standards applied to self and others, just world belief, retributive punishment, and generally with “conservative” values [53,54]. When used as an alternative to genetically based ability differences, it leads to victim blaming: the belief that the poor do not deserve sympathy or assistance because their poverty is their own fault.

Revealingly, the “Bell Curve Wars” of the 1990s coincided with a virulent (and bipartisan) anti-welfare movement in the United States that was driven by a belief in the undeservingness of the poor[55]. In the United States, genetic causes of poverty and other social disadvantages, and especially the belief in genetically caused intelligence differences, had been repudiated by the intellectual elite since the 1960s. With innate ability differences out of the debate, intellectuals blamed the persistence of poverty and social pathologies on other intellectuals, while everyone else applied the deservingness heuristic to blame the victims—the “black welfare mother”, in particular.

On race:

The most popular and most divisive alternative to innate ability differences as an explanation for unequal outcomes is discrimination, conceptualized as “institutional racism”, “symbolic racism”, and similar constructs [61,62], sometimes bordering on conspiracy theories[63]. In the United States half a century after civil rights legislation and after intense efforts at ending discrimination, the belief in the continued power of racial discrimination implies the belief that discrimination is intractable. This leaves racial segregation as the only remedy. Conversely, genetically based race differences in intelligence can be used to argue that affirmative action policies should be maintained until undesirable intelligence differences can be eliminated by genetic engineering—unless we prefer maintaining or enhancing these differences instead.

On existential risks:

What makes this knowledge objectionable is the traditional view that the prediction of disaster creates a moral obligation to prevent or mitigate the outcome. However, few people are motivated to promote the welfare of future generations. Thus the knowledge can be harmful by causing a bad conscience. In consequence, a principled argument for prohibition of this knowledge should be based on: (1) the factual claim that people do not care enough about future generations (and even their own children) to give them “good genes” but are still prone to develop bad feelings about it; and (2) the ethical claim that people living today have no obligation to promote the welfare of future generations.

 

 
Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.